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Abbasov, A.M. and Mamedova, M.H.
Application of fuzzy time series to population forecasting
CORP 2003, Vienna University of Technology, 25.2.-28.2.2003 [Proceedings on CD-Rom]
The potential of fuzzy logic application in simulating of demographic processes by the example of population forecasting task hasbeen investigated. The particularities of population as dynamical system functioning under the condition of uncertainty have beenexamined and fuzzy statement problem has been suggested. The strategy of population forecasting using the method of fuzzy timeseries model has been proposed. The simulations on retrospective evaluation of population are carried out and on the base of the results of these simulations the conclusion avocet the effectiveness of utilization of fuzzy model for demographic forecasting has been model.