CumInCAD is a Cumulative Index about publications in Computer Aided Architectural Design
supported by the sibling associations ACADIA, CAADRIA, eCAADe, SIGraDi, ASCAAD and CAAD futures

id ddss2004_ra-177
authors Ballas, D., R. Kingston, and J. Stillwell
year 2004
title Using a Spatial Microsimulation Decision Support System for Policy Scenario Analysis
source Van Leeuwen, J.P. and H.J.P. Timmermans (eds.) Recent Advances in Design & Decision Support Systems in Architecture and Urban Planning, Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, ISBN: 1-4020-2408-8, p. 177-191
summary This paper discusses the potential of a spatial microsimulation-based decision support system for policy analysis. The system can be used to describe current conditions and issues in neighbourhoods, predict future trends in the composition and health of neighbourhoods and conduct modelling and predictive analysis to measure the likely impact of policy interventions at the local level. A large dynamic spatial micro-simulation model is being constructed for the population of Leeds (approximately 715,000 individuals) based on spatial microsimulation techniques in conjunction with a range of data, including 2001 Census data for Output Areas and sample data from the British Household Panel Survey. The project has three main aims as follows: (i) to develop a static microsimulation model to describe current conditions in Leeds; (ii) to enable the performance of ‘What if?’ analysis on a range of policy scenarios; and (iii) to develop a dynamic microsimulation model to predict future conditions in Leeds under different policy scenarios. The paper reports progress in meeting the above aims and outlines the associated difficulties and data issues. One of the significant advantages of the spatial microsimulation approach adopted by this project is that it enables the user to query any combination of variables that is deemed desirable for policy analysis. The paper will illustrate the software tool being developed in the context of this project that is capable of carrying out queries of this type and of mapping their results. The decision support tool is being developed to support policy-makers concerned with urban regeneration and neighbourhood renewal.
keywords Spatial Microsimulation, Spatial Decision Support Systems, Geotools
series DDSS
full text file.pdf (391,267 bytes)
references Content-type: text/plain
details citation check to select
100%; open Alvanides S (2000) Find in CUMINCAD Zone design methods for application in human Geography , Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds
100%; open Ballas, D, Kingston R, Stillwell, J, (2003) Find in CUMINCAD Public participation in local policy-making with the use of GIS-based microsimulation , Poster presented at the 2nd annual Public Participation GIS Conference, Portland State University, Portland, USA, 20-22 July 2003
100%; open Ballas, D. and Clarke, G. P. (2001) Find in CUMINCAD Towards local implications of major job transformations in the city: a spatial microsimulation approach , Geographical Analysis 33, 291-311
100%; open Ballas, D., Clarke, G. P. and Turton, I. (1999) Find in CUMINCAD Exploring microsimulation methodologies for the estimation of household attributes , Paper presented at the 4th International Conference on GeoComputation, Fredericksburg, Virginia, USA, 25-28 July
100%; open Ballas, D., Clarke, G. P. and Turton, I. (2003) Find in CUMINCAD A spatial microsimulation model for social policy micro-spatial analysis , Boots, B., Okabe, A. and Thomas, R. (eds.) Modelling Geographical Systems: Statistical and Computational Applications, Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 143-168
100%; open Ballas, D., Clarke, G.P. (2000) Find in CUMINCAD GIS and microsimulation for local labour market policy analysis , Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 24, 305-330
100%; open Ballas, D., Clarke, G.P. (2001) Find in CUMINCAD Modelling the local impacts of national social policies: a spatial microsimulation approach , Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 19, 587 – 606
100%; open Ballas, D., Clarke, G.P. (2003) Find in CUMINCAD Microsimulation and Regional Science: 30 years of spatial microsimulation of populations , Paper presented at the 50th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science Association International, Philadelphia, USA, 19-22 November 2003
100%; open Ballas, D. (2001) Find in CUMINCAD A spatial microsimulation approach to local labour market policy analysis , Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds
100%; open Clarke, G.P. (1996) Find in CUMINCAD Microsimulation: an introduction , G.P. Clarke (ed.) Microsimulation for Urban and Regional Policy Analysis, Pion, London, 1-9
100%; open Dowsland, K. (1993) Find in CUMINCAD Simulated annealing , Reeves, C. (ed) Modern Heuristic Techniques for Combinatorial Problems, Blackwell, Oxford
100%; open Kingston, R., Carver, S., Evans, A. and Turton, I. (2000) Find in CUMINCAD Web-Based Public Participation Geographical Information Systems: an aid to Local Environmental Decision-Making , Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 24, 109-125
100%; open Kirkpatrick, S, Gelatt, C. D. Jr. and Vecchi, M. P. (1983) Find in CUMINCAD Optimization by simulated annealing , Science, 220: 671-680
100%; open Norman, P. (1999) Find in CUMINCAD Putting Iterative Proportional Fitting on the Researcher’s Desk , Working paper 99/03, School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT
100%; open Openshaw, S. and Rao, L. (1995) Find in CUMINCAD Algorithms for reengineering 1991 Census geography , Environment and Planning A, 27: 425-446
100%; open Openshaw, S. and Schmidt, J. (1996) Find in CUMINCAD Parallel simulated annealing and genetic algorithms for re-engineering zoning systems , Geographical Systems, 3: 201-220
100%; open Orcutt, G.H. (1957) Find in CUMINCAD A new type of socio-economic system , The review of economics and statistics, 39, 116-123
100%; open Pham, D.T. and Karaboga, D. (2000) Find in CUMINCAD Intelligent Optimisation Techniques: Genetic Algorithms, Tabu Search, Simulated Annealing and Neural Networks , Springer, London
100%; open Van Laarhoven, P.J.M. and Aarts, E.H.L. (1987) Find in CUMINCAD Simulated Annealing: Theory and Applications , Kluwer, Dordrecht
100%; open Williamson, P., Birkin, M. and Rees, P. (1998) Find in CUMINCAD The estimation of population microdata by using data from small area statistics and samples of anonymised records , Environment and Planning A, 30: 785-816

last changed 2004/07/03 20:13
HOMELOGIN (you are user _anon_531682 from group guest) Works Powered by SciX Open Publishing Services 1.002