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id DDSS2006-HB-69
authors Toshihiro Osaragi and Yoshitsugu Aoki
year 2006
title A Method for Estimating Land Use Transition Probability Using Raster Data - Considerations about apatial unit of transition, fixed state of locations, and time-varying probability
source Van Leeuwen, J.P. and H.J.P. Timmermans (eds.) 2006, Innovations in Design & Decision Support Systems in Architecture and Urban Planning, Dordrecht: Springer, ISBN-10: 1-4020-5059-3, ISBN-13: 978-1-4020-5059-6, p. 69-84
summary In the field of urban and regional planning, several Markov chain models for land use conversion have been proposed. However, some problems have been encountered when estimating land use transition probabilities. In this paper, a new estimation method to determine land use transition probability is proposed by taking into account spatial units of land use transition, fixed state of locations, and varying transition probabilities. The effectiveness of the proposed methods and some new findings on land use conversion are presented using numerical examples.
keywords Markov chain, Land use, Transition probability, Building lot, Fixed state, Time-varying probability
series DDSS
full text file.pdf (268,002 bytes)
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